Mets (81) – Mets with a healthy Noah Syndergaard, Jacob deGrom, and a motivated Matt Harvey pitching for a contract could be one of the better rotations in the NL. You combine that with a new manager, adding Jay Bruce, Todd Frazier, Jason Vargas and Anthony Swarzak along with Yoenis Cespedes not playing golf and focusing on baseball and Michael Conforto once he comes back, that is a decent lineup as well. Mets cruise past 81.
Yankees (94.5) – Even without Greg Bird for 2 months, the Yankees lineup is absolutely loaded, Didi is underrated by most in baseball, then you have Aaron Judge, adding in Giancarlo Stanton, and the best hitter on the team in Gary Sanchez. CC Sabathia is back, Sonny Gray will have a full season with the team, and Jordan Montgomery quietly can be a great back end rotation guy with the best pull pen in baseball. Then you factor in the insane depth of prospects and money they can spend if needed, the Yankees will be in the upper 90-win range.
White Sox (68) – Chicago will not be a good team in 2018, but 68 wins, yeah, they will be better than that. Winning 67 last year is a good starting point, then throwing in all the kids they have on the team like Lucas Giolito and Yoan Moncada. They also have Eloy Jimenez and Michael Kopech in the pipeline plus one of the best farms in baseball. They are on the rise, and if the kids blossom and play quick they should cruise to 70 wins.
Astros (96.5) – World Series hangovers can be real with complacency settling in and knowing that making the playoffs is the only thing that matters because they have proved they can win. That compiled with the Angels, Athletics, and Mariners being good should make it tough to get past 96.5. I’ll take the under on the Astros but with them winning the division and making it to the ALCS.
Rays (77.5) - Evan Longoria, Logan Morrison, Corey Dickerson, Steven Souza, Lucas Duda, Alex Cobb, and Steve Cishek are all gone. Rays are also experimenting with a 4-man rotation which is as bit tricky, then you factor in the division they are playing in with the Yankees, Red Sox, Blue Jays, and Orioles, that is going to be tough to get to 78 wins, so I will take the under.
Angels (84.5) – Their ace Shohei Ohtani with his first year in MLB looks to have had a rocky spring and the team is already low on reputable starting pitchers. They are also going to experiment with a 6-man rotation. You combine all those pitching issues with a weak farm system and that can be a recipe for a long season. The only thing this team might have going for them is the great Mike Trout, but I don’t know if he alone can carry the Angels to 85 wins, so I will take the under.
To make things more fun, I have invited my friend Michael DeSorbo to make his O/U picks as well:
Overs: Dodgers (96.5), Nationals (92.5), and Twins (82.5).
Unders: Cardinals (85.5), Giants (81.5), and Mariners (81.5).
AWARDS AND PLAYOFFS:
AL Cy Young: Chris Sale (BOS)
NL Cy Young: Noah Syndergaard (NYM)
AL MVP: Gary Sanchez (NYY)
NL MVP: Bryce Harper (WAS)
AL ROY: Gleyber Torres (NYY)
NL ROY: Ronald Acuna (ATL)
AL Manager of the Year: Alex Cora (BOS)
NL Manager of the Year: Mickey Callaway (NYM)
AL East: New York Yankees
AL Central: Cleveland Indians
AL West: Houston Astros
AL WC 1: Boston Red Sox
AL WC 2: Minnesota Twins
NL East: Washington Nationals
NL Central: Chicago Cubs
NL West: Los Angels Dodgers
NL WC 1: New York Mets
NL WC 2: Milwaukee Brewers
ALCS: Yankees over Astros
NLCS: Cubs over Nationals
World Series: Yankees over Cubs